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Price/Volume Analysis

Traders often rely on volume to confirm stock trading patterns before they commit to a trade. Unless volume confirms a pattern or a breakout, it may be a false breakout that lures in traders who have not done sufficient homework. However, since short term volume can be erratic, trendlines should be drawn on volume charts to indicate the trend of volume for confirmations of trends and patterns.

A sustained uptrend should have volume rising as the price is rising. If the volume is decreasing as the price is rising, it indicates a weakening of the trend that could lead to a reversal of trend.

When a stock breaks through a resistance level, it should breakout with volume well above normal volume to confirm a breakout.

When a stock breaks down below a support level, it should breakout with volume well above normal volume to confirm a breakout.

When a stock has completed a trading pattern, such as a head-and-shoulders pattern, it should complete with higher than normal volume to confirm the pattern.

A sustained downtrend can end with very high volume. If the retest of support at the level of the selling climax is tested with low volume, then it will probably hold.




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