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Leading Economic Indicators

Option Trading profits can be greatly increased by accurate predictions of market direction. Equity market direction is influenced by leading economic indicators, which influence the strength and direction of the economy. That makes them important in any comprehensive assessment of market direction, so it is helpful to understand them and watch them. Some of the most popular and important leading economic indicators are listed below.

Leading economic indicators are used by economists and analysts and can provide an early warning system for inflation.

  • Average workweek in the manufacturing sector
  • Building permits
  • Change in unified orders
  • Index of consumer expectations
  • Initial unemployment claims
  • New orders for consumer goods
  • Plant and equipment orders
  • Real M2
  • Sensitive material prices
  • Stock prices
  • Vendor performance

Three consecutive movements of the LEI in the same direction is generally accepted by traders as a confirmation that the economy will move in the indicated direction. In the last half century, LEI predicted ten recessions and was correct 70% of the time.


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